Gdoc/Admin
Daily Data InsightsFebruary was cooler in 2025 than in 2024 — but the long-term trend is still warming

February was cooler in 2025 than in 2024 — but the long-term trend is still warming

A line graph shows temperature variations for February from 1950 to 2025, with a focus on the changes due to climate phenomena. The y-axis represents temperature deviations in degrees Celsius, ranging from -1°C to 1°C. Different colored dots represent data from various years, categorized into phases: Strong La Niña (dark blue), La Niña (blue), Neutral (gray), El Niño (orange), and Strong El Niño (red). 

The text notes that February 2025, marked by a dark blue dot, is cooler than February 2024, indicated by an orange dot, as the La Niña phase has replaced El Niño. An explanatory note emphasizes that typically, months in a La Niña year are cooler than the same months in the preceding El Niño year. 

Data sources include modified information from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (2025) and the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (2025). The graph is licensed under CC BY.

January 2025 was the hottest January on record. This was surprising because the world recently transitioned from El Niño (which tends to increase global temperatures) to La Niña (which tends to cool them). We might have expected this cooling to be reflected in January’s temperatures. It was not.

But February did not follow this same pattern.

The chart tracks monthly temperature anomalies, comparing current temperatures to historical averages. Each dot represents a February anomaly, with El Niño (warmer) years in orange and red and La Niña (cooler) years in blue.

As expected, February 2025 cooled compared to February 2024, following the usual pattern where La Niña years tend to be cooler than the El Niño years before them.

However, this doesn’t mean global warming has slowed. Recent La Niña years are still warmer than El Niño years from just a few decades ago, showing that even natural climate fluctuations don’t reverse the long-term warming trend.

We update this data monthly so you can track how these patterns evolve.

Read our recent article that explains in more detail how the world is warming despite natural fluctuations from the El Niño cycle

Our latest Daily Data Insights

See all Daily Data Insights

Get Daily Data Insights delivered to your inbox

Receive an email from us when we publish a Daily Data Insight (every weekday).

By subscribing you are agreeing to the terms of our privacy policy.